SCAG's Regional Transportation Plan Falls Down Hard on Aviation Policy

The recently published Southern California Association of Governments (“SCAG”) Draft Regional Transportation Plan 2012-2035, Sustainable Communities Strategy (“Draft RTP”) is a study in contrasts. The Draft RTP is meant to be a roadmap to “increasing mobility for the region’s residents and visitors.” Draft RTP, p. 1. Its “vision” purportedly “encompasses three principles that collectively work as the key to our region’s future: mobility, economy and sustainability.” Draft RTP, p. 1. SCAG’s jurisdiction falls largely into compartments: (1) surface transportation such as roadways and rail; and (2) aviation. SCAG has funding authority over the former, but none over the latter.

The purpose of the Draft RTP is to portray transportation from a broader regional, rather than merely local, perspective. On the one hand, the Draft RTP’s analysis of surface transportation growth estimates, trends and proposed policies for the Southern California Region to the year 2035 contains relatively sophisticated and substantially complete analysis and projections that meet its goals. On the other hand, the Draft RTP’s analysis of aviation trends and policies for meeting airport demand is reminiscent of a high school science project.
 

For example, the Draft RTP anticipates that, after the “urban capacity constrained airports of Los Angeles International (“LAX”), Bob Hope, Long Beach and John Wayne Airports (sic)” all meet their “defined legally allowable or physical capacity constraints,” the remainder of the demand will be served at “suburban airports with ample capacity to serve future demand, including Ontario International, San Bernardino International, March Inland Port, Palmdale Regional, Southern California Logistics and Palm Springs airports.” Draft RTP, p. 58. While SCAG is correct about the availability of unused capacity at Ontario International (“ONT”) (which is at its lowest passenger level since 1987 despite ample facilities including a new, unused, terminal), SCAG is flat wrong in the assumption that: (1) the other named airports actually have usable capacity; and (2) the “remainder of the demand” will automatically be siphoned off to airports more remote than ONT (which is actually an urban airport in the midst of a highly developed and developing Inland Empire). For example, San Bernardino International Airport (“SBIA”), while sporting a new, completely empty, terminal with apparently ample groundside capacity, has serious airspace conflicts with ONT, as well as a $4,000 foot high mountain at the end of its principal runway.

The Draft RTP further opines that “congested airports have an interest in shifting traffic to less congested airports.” Draft RTP, p. 61. No they don’t. Airports earn revenue by, among other things, airline landing fees and concessions revenues like food and parking, which in turn depend on increasing numbers of passengers. The favored (although not always desirable) solution for congested airports is to simply create more capacity which is largely funded by Federal dollars appropriated by the Federal Aviation Administration (“FAA”), with little or no downside to the local operator.

Finally, the Draft RTP opines that “for airports like LAX which has a significant component of international traffic that generates more revenue than domestic flights, it may be more efficient to limit domestic flights that could be accommodated at other airports in the region, thereby freeing up capacity for more lucrative international flights.” Draft RTP, p. 61. As an organization charged with understanding transportation laws and regulations, SCAG should be aware that it is not up to the airport or the local jurisdiction that operates it to “limit domestic flights” or any flights for that matter. “The United States government has exclusive sovereignty of airspace of the United States,” 49 U.S.C. § 40103(a)(1), including the type of aircraft allowed to fly and where they may land. While other laws such as the Airport Noise and Capacity Act of 1990 (49 U.S.C. § 47521, et seq.) circumscribe the Federal government’s preemptive sovereignty to some extent, the local airport operator may only choose to construct, or not to construct, facilities to accommodate aircraft operations. Once such facilities exist, a local operator may not choose between operations based on their ultimate destinations.

In summary, while the Draft RTP’s general conceptual framework, analyzing transportation as a regional and cooperative issue among regional jurisdictions is supportable, the Draft RTP entirely omits from its aviation analysis reference to, or consideration of, the third party with the real power to make a difference in the allocation of regional air transportation resources – the FAA. Without such consideration, the Draft RTP’s aviation policies amount to nothing more than a wish list. The comment period on the Draft RTP extends until February 14, 2012.
 

LAX Grows Like "Topsy" While Ontario Starves

An interesting dichotomy was observable in recent news coverage of the utilization of the two major airports owned and operated by the City of Los Angeles. On the one hand, in a recent story, the Los Angeles Times reported that the City of Los Angeles’ Board of Airport Commissioners, the administrative agency charged with overseeing the operation of the City’s airports, is considering closing one of the two terminals at Ontario International Airport (located in the City of Ontario, but operated by Los Angeles World Airports (“LAWA”)). The stated reason was that Ontario has lost one-third of its peak 7.2 million passengers from 2007 to 2010, putting Ontario “on track to have as many passengers as it saw in 1987.” On the other hand, a story in the Los Angeles Business Journal touts passenger increases at LAX of between 3% and 10% over the period April through October, 2011. What the latter story does not do is venture an analysis of the potential causes of this enormous disparity.

Despite the economic downturn, there is still potential ridership, for Ontario, not only in Riverside and San Bernardino Counties, but also in Northern Orange County and parts of San Diego County that are closer to Ontario than to the coastal airports of John Wayne Airport and San Diego International Airport, located in their own counties.

Even a moderate degree of analysis reveals the true cause of the disparity: favorable treatment of LAX by the City of Los Angeles, to the severe detriment of Ontario’s future. For example, despite its facial commitment to “regionalization” of air traffic, i.e., the dispersion of passengers among the various airports in the region, affirmed in its settlement of a case brought by various impacted parties in 2004, City of El Segundo, et al. v. City of Los Angeles, et al., LAWA has apparently enticed air carriers to move to LAX by lower costs and fees, in order to pay the cost of its major, ongoing expansion project.

Ontario is left the orphan, saddled with hefty City employee contractual obligations; a $4.50 per passenger Passenger Facility Charge; and among the highest per passenger costs in the entire region, with little or no marketing effort by LAWA during the past three years to ameliorate these disparities.

What is clear from a comparative analysis of the passenger traffic at the two venues is that LAWA’s defense, i.e., “there won’t be any net growth until you see the economy bounce back,” is without a cognizable basis. If the economy were the controlling factor, LAX would also be experiencing a decline, or at least less growth. That LAX is booming is proof positive of the views of Inland Empire officials who have taken the consistent position that “LAWA which operates both LAX and Ontario has become an absentee landlord bent on completing a multi-billion dollar modernization of LAX at the expense of its weaker stepchild and potential competitor 56 miles to the east.”
 

Inland Empire's Economic Woes Remediable Through Local Control of Ontario International Airport

The Los Angeles Times reports that, while economic conditions are slowly improving throughout most of the nation, including most of California, California’s Inland Empire, comprised of Riverside and San Bernardino Counties is not so fortunate. The Times reports that the volume of home sales in San Bernardino County dropped 18.3% from last June, and in Riverside County 14.7%. Similarly, jobs fell throughout the Inland Empire in sectors such as leisure and hospitality (minus 3,200 jobs in June) and educational and health services (minus 1,300 positions in June). Finally, the region lost 3,900 construction jobs over the year, and more than 75,000 since the peak of construction in June, 2006.

As part of the solution to this ongoing problem, the City of Ontario and County of San Bernardino have joined together to negotiate a return of Ontario International Airport (“ONT”), operated by the City of Los Angeles through its Airport Department, L.A. World Airports (“LAWA”) since 1967, to local control. ONT has, consistent with the condition of the local economy, seen an approximate 30% decrease in operations since 2007.
 

Local control would be exercised through a joint powers agency comprised of the City of Ontario and San Bernardino County. The benefits of such an arrangement are manifest: (1) local control could eventually escape the onerous employee contractual requirements which burden Los Angeles and add substantially to airline costs; (2) local control could avoid the inherent conflict of interest which has inhibited LAWA from allowing airlines to divert to ONT rather than concentrating service at LAX, with consequent financial benefits to LAX and disbenefits to ONT in the form of lost landing, concession and other fees; (3) local control takes into account local needs, preferences and conditions, with historically greater success in attracting airline incumbents and passengers and stimulating airport development; and (4) with successful airport development, theory and practice amply demonstrate, comes economic development for the entire region.

Despite ONT’s downward spiral, the transfer of ONT to local control, and its consequent successful development, are opposed by the City of Los Angeles as an attempt to hijack a “valuable asset.” The irony is that what could have been a valuable asset has been debased under Los Angeles’ control. An answer to the woes of the region in general, and ONT in particular is clear – return ONT to local control where it will be understood and exploited to its full potential as a “valuable asset,” not just to Los Angeles alone, but to the entire Southern California region.
 

City of Los Angeles Opposes Legislative Efforts to Encourage Growth at Ontario

The City of Los Angeles (“Los Angeles”) went on record yet again, rebuffing a cooperative effort between the City of Ontario (“Ontario”) and County of San Bernardino (“San Bernardino”) to promote growth at Ontario International Airport (“ONT”). The Los Angeles City Council formally voted to oppose SB466, introduced earlier this year by Senator Bob Dutton, which would allow for structured negotiations regarding the transfer of ONT to a newly formed joint powers agency comprised of Ontario and San Bernardino. The rationale for the legislation is that ONT has proportionally suffered the worst loss of passengers and airline operations of any airport in the Southern California region, and that a shift to local control is needed to restart what had previously been considered the economic engine for the Inland Empire.

The transfer is also regarded by Petitioners in the case City of El Segundo, et al. v. City of Los Angeles, et al., Riverside County Superior Court Case No. RIC426822 as critical to the success of the “regionalization” provision of the Settlement Agreement in that action. Under the settlement, over which the Court still retains jurisdiction, Los Angeles’ Airport Department, L.A. World Airports (“LAWA”) is obligated to make its best efforts to divert passenger traffic to other Los Angeles owned airports throughout the region. Because ONT is the only Los Angeles owned airport with terminal and airfield facilities sufficient to accommodate substantial increases in commercial air traffic, a number of Petitioners have already taken formal positions in support of the transfer and the proposed legislation.

Ontario and San Bernardino have committed to continue their fight for local control of the valuable asset that ONT could be, if effectively managed.
 

If Airplanes are so Fascinating, the "Great Park" Can Have Ours

The citizens of Newport Beach read with interest the front page article in the Orange County newspaper, the Daily Pilot, a subsidiary of the Los Angeles Times, of July 10, 2011, concerning this weekend’s air show at the Orange County “Great Park.” They looked with even greater consternation at the remarks of one of the attendees who stated “Airplanes in general have been a fascination for people . . . these days you don’t see them flying around as much. And when you have a chance to see them up close and personal it’s a good reason to come out.” Where has this guy been living for the last 15 years – under a rock?

For the last 15 years, these “thousands of spectators” who “kept their eyes to the sky for the Orange County Great Park’s air show” had the opportunity to see airplanes as “up close and personal” as the rest of Newport Beach does every day. The El Toro Marine Corps Air Station, the site of the Great Park, had been a military airport for decades, even generations. The short-sighted opposition of some citizens who now flock to see airplanes “flying around” at an air show has denied Orange County and the region as a whole the economic opportunity of an adequate sized airport to supplement the postage stamp 536 acres at John Wayne Airport. Ironically, these same folks would not have seen airplanes “flying around” over their homes if the El Toro Airport had been built, as the people of Newport Beach do every day, because the military had kept 14,000 acres around El Toro free of residential property that could potentially be impacted.

In a final irony, the managers of the “Great Park” project have paid $200 million to planning firms outside Orange County, and spent 10 years on planning, so that a few people can “stop by the park a few times a year to enjoy the green space or . . . play soccer on the grass or field hockey.” In other words, the “Great Park” is not a park at all, with actual structures or services. It remains instead a mere concept that has been used to digest public dollars at an unseemly rate. If the people of Southern Orange County are so fascinated with aircraft flying around, they should have thought twice before denying Orange County what they and the rest of its citizens really need, a new, economically productive commercial airport.

Fortunately, that opportunity still exists at Ontario International Airport. Ontario is close enough to Orange County to be practical, but far enough away to deny all those onlookers fascinated with aircraft overflights a second chance to walk away from the opportunity. The rest of the citizens of Orange County can only hope that the managers of the “Great Park” project will finally devote its massive potential to something constructive, other than even more “aircraft flying around.”
 

FAA's Most Recent Forecast Sees Massive Increase in Passengers at Region's Airports

The Federal Aviation Administration's most recent forecast of future airline passengers at the region's airports is an eye opener. In the forecast year 2030, FAA is projecting 49.3 million enplanements (98.6 million total passengers) at Los Angeles International Airport; 3 million enplanements (6 million total passengers) at Ontario International Airport; and 6.6 million enplanements (13.2 million air passengers) for John Wayne Airport. This compares to current figures for LAX of approximately 58 million air passengers a year; Ontario, 4.5 million air passengers a year; and John Wayne Airport, 9.8 million air passengers a year.

Of course, 2030 is 20 years away and much can happen between now and then. Therefore, the real eye opener is the comparatively low projected growth of Ontario. Despite the fact that Ontario has new terminals, runways thousands of feet longer than those at John Wayne Airport, and convenient freeway access to all of the Inland Empire as well as northeast Orange County, FAA does not expect it to grow more than 33%, compared to John Wayne Airport’s 38% and LAX’s whopping approximately 60%.

FAA may have pulled the trigger too quickly, however. On May 10, 2010, the Los Angeles City Council approved a motion to study the transfer of Ontario International Airport to the control of the City of Ontario (control that shifted to Los Angeles in 1967). As the City of Ontario has a strong interest in growth of Ontario International Airport as an economic engine for the currently economically moribund Inland Empire, the jury is still out as to whether Ontario will steal those passengers FAA now projects for LAX and John Wayne Airport. Stay tuned.

Los Angeles City Council: Study Transfer of Ontario International Airport to City of Ontario

On May 18, 2010, the Los Angeles City Council approved, by a 12-3 margin, a Motion calling for a study of the requirements for, and costs and benefits of, returning Ontario International Airport (“ONT”) to the control of the City of Ontario, California.

Passenger traffic at Ontario has declined from 7.2 Million Air Passengers in 2007 to 4.88 in 2009. Projected revenues for Fiscal Year 2011 have also declined from $78.6 million to $75.5 million. While projected costs have also been lowered to $67 million from the originally forecast $76.8 million, Los Angeles City Councilman Greg Smith’s Press Aide, Matt Meyerhoff expressed Councilman Smith’s view that Los Angeles is “looking to sell the airport and getting some money out of the deal.” The Study is due to be completed by September 1, 2010.

LAWA Proposes $647.6M Airports Budget for New Fiscal Year

Los Angeles World Airports on Monday projected a $647.6 million operating budget for the fiscal year that begins July 1, according to preliminary figures.  The operating budget covers day-to-day expenses at Los Angeles International Airport and the agency's smaller airports in Ontario and Van Nuys.  On its own, LAX's operating costs during the 2010 fiscal year are expected to increase 1.8 percent to $565 million, while revenue is projected to increase 5.8 percent to $705 million.  LA/Ontario International Airport is expected to see a 14.6 percent budget cut, while Van Nuys Airport will experience 10.9 percent in operating reductions, according to the proposed budget.  The Board of Airport Commissioners is expected to consider a final draft the LAWA's budget on June 7, said Gina Marie Lindsey, executive director of the airport agency.  Art Marroquin/Torrance Daily Breeze